Cool-Straw
0xd765a2e1f37f3b5296dbff719190f2f235293e61
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$25.92
Total PnL
$0.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?$15.00Jun 22, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18.92Jun 22, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.08Jun 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19.05Jun 22, 17:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.79May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.81May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?$10.08May 26, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.61May 26, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?$30.16May 26, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$11.31May 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?$31.11May 26, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$11.00Apr 26, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$21.06Apr 26, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$21.08Apr 26, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$21.08Apr 26, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$21.00Mar 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$30.59Mar 25, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?$11.49Mar 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$30.65Mar 25, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Feb 22, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $19.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.