Natural-Colony
0xd77888016e55f93893b667f0812a3a1bec033c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$6.36
Total PnL
$-142.01
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
63 shares @ 31.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.96
$-13.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.40
$-1.40
- OVER
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5
250 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.50
- MOHUN BAGAN SUPER GIANT
Spread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5)
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.83
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?
98 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)$0.50Apr 13, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$0.65Apr 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?$0.50Apr 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$0.01Apr 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$0.49Apr 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$0.06Apr 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$0.45Apr 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.05Apr 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.00Apr 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5)$1.00Apr 12, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5)$3.38Apr 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha: O/U 4.5$0.94Apr 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.80Apr 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha: O/U 4.5$0.02Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha: O/U 4.5$0.03Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha: O/U 4.5$0.01Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5)$0.21Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5)$0.21Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-2.5)$0.21Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.00Apr 12, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.