Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+14.1pp
24h Vol
$22.39
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+16.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 131.9h
- 08:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 35¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 34¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 34¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 34¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.2pp
to 34¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.7pp
to 33¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.7pp
to 33¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.1pp
to 38¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.2pp
to 39¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 29¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.1pp
to 31¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 20¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 20¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.4pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.4pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.3pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.1pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.1pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).