Second-Seafood
0xd784b0ff82b712cb77fdfe85c11bc02aecc68f5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$712.61
Total PnL
$-765.24
Realised
$22.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
136 shares @ 73.6¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$103.60
$3.60
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
126 shares @ 79.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$96.01
$-3.99
- NO
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.31
$3.31
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
46 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.91
$3.91
- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
63 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$42.22
$2.22
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
84 shares @ 47.4¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$36.71
$-3.29
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
133 shares @ 7.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.82
$25.82
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
33 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$31.52
$1.52
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$24.19
$4.19
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.75
$3.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$101.32Jul 27, 22:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$101.04Jul 26, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular visit Russia in 2026?$20.20Jul 20, 22:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$44.12Jul 17, 04:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?$20.66Jul 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$30.38Jul 16, 17:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $33.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.