Fluffy-Ravioli
0xd7a2fd4dbc0767c72900d1dbcb1f0028639db146
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$137.09
Total PnL
$-82.25
Realised
$-20.12
Win rate
48%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
37 shares @ 88.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$37.00
$4.13
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
18 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.00
$3.19
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
13 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.00
$2.43
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$12.00
$6.96
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
11 shares @ 32.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$11.00
$7.46
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$10.00
$4.20
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$9.01
$0.79
- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
5 shares @ 80.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$4.90
$0.90
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$4.00
$2.00
- NO
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.00
$0.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$3.51Jan 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$18.25Jan 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$27.87Jan 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$10.98Jan 15, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$10.98Jan 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?$5.04Jan 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$4.51Jan 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$26.43Jan 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$0.40Jan 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$2.39Jan 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$28.48Jan 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?$4.34Jan 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?$1.98Jan 15, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$3.42Jan 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$6.27Jan 15, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$6.40Jan 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$11.01Jan 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$22.02Jan 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?$1.54Jan 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$5.55Jan 15, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".