Harmful-Pillbox
0xd7b21e22aa213c926d733e0f38a34b2339ccaa7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.84
Total PnL
$-0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?
1 shares @ 81.8¢·now 79.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?$1.01May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.01May 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.00May 17, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?$0.47May 17, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?$1.06May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" this week?$1.01May 17, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 17, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 17, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".