Paltry-Manipulation
0xd7e068dcf91bf3ba1d0c4101d005ca25414bc1bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$306.62
Realised
$156.35
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
215 shares @ 55.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$158.03
$39.08
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1317 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$109.97
$9.97
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
151 shares @ 51.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$106.67
$29.24
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.98
$55.88
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$84.50
$34.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
152 shares @ 65.4¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$78.27
$-21.08
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
120 shares @ 58.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$62.40
$-7.60
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
68 shares @ 20.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.33
$36.65
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.00
$7.00
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
37 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$29.94
$1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11.75May 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?$5.10May 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.17May 26, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$28.00May 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$32.00May 26, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.96May 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$19.40May 26, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$99.10May 26, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$60.94May 26, 05:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$17.00May 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$25.80May 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.20May 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?$66.07May 25, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$114.95May 25, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$75.05May 25, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$0.00May 25, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$57.98May 25, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?$6.13May 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$16.50May 25, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $36.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".