Elaborate-Grand
0xd7ea6b24e73d178edfb9af838ede14debe72ea62
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-92.73
Realised
$32.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
700 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$479.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
613 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$456.44
$-2.81
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
412 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$376.31
$1.26
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
431 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$252.13
$6.46
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
263 shares @ 86.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$246.75
$18.88
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
800 shares @ 27.8¢·now 26.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$210.80
$-11.40
- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
300 shares @ 71.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$202.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$154.50
$34.50
- NO
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
150 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$149.63
$40.13
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
900 shares @ 17.9¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$144.45
$-16.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$88.61Jun 15, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.00Jun 15, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.00Jun 15, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$281.32Jun 15, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.97Jun 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?$0.98Jun 15, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$200.00Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$5.35Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$95.00Jun 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$64.92Jun 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$313.27Jun 14, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $56.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.