0xd7ea6b24e73d178edfb9af838ede14debe72ea62
0xd7ea6b24e73d178edfb9af838ede14debe72ea62
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$18.78
Realised
$-9.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
484 shares @ 80.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$467.30
$76.72
- MILOS JANICIC
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)
400 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$190.00
$-2.00
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
800 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$99.95
$7.95
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
102 shares @ 78.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$99.14
$19.28
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
400 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$94.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
92 shares @ 92.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$76.82
$-7.82
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
76 shares @ 39.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$68.46
$38.72
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
327 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$63.77
$-14.72
- NO
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?
34 shares @ 30.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$21.65
$11.34
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.