Afraid-Retrospect
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
46
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$286.88
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2500 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$-3.09
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1900 shares @ 63.8¢·now 41.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$782.80
$-430.49
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$496.50
$20.50
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
2000 shares @ 13.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$290.00
$20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.00
$75.00
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1865 shares @ 17.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.79
$-126.44
- YES
Megaquake by June 30?
800 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.00
$8.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.00
$25.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
130 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$129.12
$2.80
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$115.00
$5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0113h ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$36.672d ago
- YIELD$0.023d ago
- REWARD$1.093d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$6.573d ago
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$20.353d ago
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?$4.433d ago
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?$23.713d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$138.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$55.333d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$4.263d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$75.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$22.383d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$1.423d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $37.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.