Afraid-Retrospect
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$4.1K
Win rate
42%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2500 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$113.16
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1900 shares @ 63.8¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$375.25
$-838.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
1801 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$199.05
$-52.54
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
1100 shares @ 15.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$159.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
152 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$145.77
$1.54
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1865 shares @ 17.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.85
$-182.38
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
300 shares @ 54.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$135.00
$-27.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1017 shares @ 25.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.14
$-128.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.00
$-25.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
721 shares @ 21.9¢·now 13.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$94.13
$-63.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$1.23Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$2.27Jun 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$15.47Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$0.71Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$3.33Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$1.20Jun 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$30.00Jun 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$50.51Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$14.49Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$102.00Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$57.00Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$49.50Jun 13, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$68.39Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$5.50Jun 13, 11:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.19Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.68Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.18Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.40Jun 12, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $30.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.