Uniform-Liar
0xd7f604273f39be637a39846c6bd92a6059559917
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-354.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on December 9?
276 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 28?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 9?
270 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 4?
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.41
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 5?
269 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 3?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 4?
264 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 2?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 10?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 25?
261 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 7?$58.63Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 7?$56.81Jul 6, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 2?$3.25Jul 1, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31?$3.09May 30, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$57.46May 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$55.56May 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$2.52May 22, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$59.15May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$57.61May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$6.17May 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$1.53May 15, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?$70.40May 10, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on December 1?$0.00May 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?$68.64Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$2.40Apr 25, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$67.20Apr 25, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?$0.00Apr 19, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$65.65Apr 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$2.10Apr 15, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?$2.27Apr 12, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $25.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.