Repulsive-Ceramics
0xd815a427427340f737efef56c0bacc51a6b44afa
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$369.02
Total PnL
$1.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
91 shares @ 83.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.77
$6.16
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$39.82
$0.58
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
34 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.19
$1.25
- NO
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
33 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$33.00
$0.73
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
33 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.37
$1.20
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$0.06
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
20 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.87
$0.35
- NO
Fed abolished before 2027?
20 shares @ 98.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.06
$-0.60
- LUIS FELIPE DIAS
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.84
$5.70
- NO
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
15 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.78
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$9.10May 31, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$2.10May 31, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$19.52May 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$1.43May 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.22May 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9.81May 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$28.21May 30, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.08May 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$17.25May 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$0.42May 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.56May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$7.28May 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$1.32May 30, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$13.69May 30, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.30May 30, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$10.93May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$14.10May 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.16May 30, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished before 2027?$19.67May 30, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 30, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 05:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.