Bleak-Mandate
0xd83b313e7929fed0b086909937c7a4272ba56ab2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$72.14
Total PnL
$-66.54
Realised
$-0.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
116 shares @ 94.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$72.14
$-37.86
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
33 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.94
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 3PM ET
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
21 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 5PM ET
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
7 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.05May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.05May 17, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.35May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.01May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.01May 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.20May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.04May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.04May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.23May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$110.24May 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$111.88May 11, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$108.00May 9, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$103.09May 9, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$4.04May 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.62May 8, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$4.00May 8, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.06May 8, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.03May 8, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.37May 8, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.02May 8, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".