Agreeable-Overexertion
0xd8624d7523926f2ff5f3d5c72de547daa77cf135
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$809.35
Total PnL
$-570.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$143.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 48.9¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.50
$22.70
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$67.50
$4.50
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.50
$12.50
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$59.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$54.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 74.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$48.92
$11.92
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.50
$-10.50
- NO
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$34.25
$8.25
- YES
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$27.25
$-17.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$50.00Jun 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$19.95Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$50.00Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?$20.00Jun 9, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$37.00Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$40.00Jun 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?$7.60Jun 2, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$7.36Jun 2, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$41.50Jun 2, 09:07 UTC
- REWARD$3.61Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$60.00Jun 1, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$28.50Jun 1, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$0.23Jun 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$14.26Jun 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.46Jun 1, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$40.00Jun 1, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 17.5% and 20%?$14.62Jun 1, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$50.00Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$20.00Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.