Illustrious-Amnesty
0xd877d4ad527a99fb9fe0c6a39a2f0f5f21f0c974
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$709.96
Total PnL
$-400.99
Realised
$-118.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4667 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$366.33
$-53.66
- YES
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$83.33
$-16.67
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
566 shares @ 12.4¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$54.01
$-15.99
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3462 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.19
$5.20
- YES
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
133 shares @ 37.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$48.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.63
$-24.38
- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$25.00
$5.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.16
$-6.84
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.83
$-11.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.33Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66.94Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$50.94Jun 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$120.19Jun 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$431.47Jun 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?$102.64Jun 11, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$533.58Jun 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$30.72Jun 9, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?$83.53Jun 9, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$30.00Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$458.71Jun 9, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$204.04Jun 9, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$685.33Jun 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$40.95Jun 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?$102.51Jun 9, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$74.72Jun 9, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$20.00Jun 9, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $135.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.