Thin-Brass-Victim
0xd8add32cb7d0363eac73aa73d6adaa92f3bd08d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$397.87
Total PnL
$-17.78
Realised
$-7.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
214 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$172.50
$22.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
176 shares @ 56.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$90.69
$-9.31
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
405 shares @ 19.8¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.97
$-0.03
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.30
$-1.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.67
$-4.33
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DETROIT TIGERS
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$80.00Jun 1, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$87.10Jun 1, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$10.34Jun 1, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$51.12Jun 1, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.27Jun 1, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.06Jun 1, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$145.93May 31, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$151.80May 31, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$151.86May 31, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$98.39May 31, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$194.12May 31, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$102.32May 31, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$200.00May 31, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.00May 31, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$8.20May 31, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$4.20May 31, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$5.00May 31, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$13.76May 31, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $43.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".