Common-Contagion
0xd8af7b4404f0b2fc74e6c6e9003df661cae604e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.5K
Total PnL
$-258.98
Realised
$8.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.5K
$2.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
1844 shares @ 83.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.3K
$-230.34
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
468 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$196.36
$-37.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$238.34May 14, 23:30 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$96.69May 14, 14:32 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$80.13May 14, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.69May 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.26May 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$243.00May 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$72.90May 14, 13:17 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KMay 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$133.35May 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$55.65May 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$840.00May 14, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$727.44May 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$723.88May 14, 10:47 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$29.58May 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$289.44May 14, 05:44 UTC
- YIELD$1.08May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$16.41May 13, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $120.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".