Grumpy-Due
0xd8b55334be534f23299b29b6ab227ba0685fec4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.18
Total PnL
$-6.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
363 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.18
$-0.91
- YES
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 25?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
210 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$94.28Jun 4, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$94.00Jun 2, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$1.11Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$4.24Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$4.12Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.12Jun 1, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.51May 31, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$78.06May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.91May 30, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.51May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.02May 30, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$52.77May 29, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$4.20May 29, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$13.50May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$13.22May 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$49.72May 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.10May 20, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$65.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$56.29May 16, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$55.91May 16, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $29.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".