0xd8e4b494d55c0b27292d6d43df199177fd11a9cf
0xd8e4b494d55c0b27292d6d43df199177fd11a9cf
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$201.31
Total PnL
$2.07
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
114 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.94
$2.86
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21 shares @ 84.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.49
$-0.51
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
9 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.40
$0.52
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.16
$0.32
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
207 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$7.33
$-0.23
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
6 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$0.08
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
8 shares @ 46.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.41
$1.55
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
165 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.37
$1.57
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.95
$0.95
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.40
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5$2.031h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$0.002h ago
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5$4.882h ago
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$56.072h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$2.043h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5$2.043h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-9.5)$0.084h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$2.044h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$2.044h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$13.264h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
