Knowledgeable-Cleft
0xd9291a9777b8c59d3b5df38c71787ad4505669a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$196.22
Total PnL
$-25.16
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
120 shares @ 84.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$109.06
$8.21
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
24 shares @ 82.9¢·now 86.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.90
$0.90
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
28 shares @ 71.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.65
$0.65
- NO
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.23
$-4.77
- NO
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
30 shares @ 33.8¢·now 37.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
37 shares @ 26.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
44 shares @ 36.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.45
$-10.26
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 41.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.14
$0.54
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
35 shares @ 45.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.49
$-15.51
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.05
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.66Jun 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.35Jun 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$10.29Jun 9, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$10.26Jun 9, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.23Jun 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$20.28Jun 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.14Jun 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$1.54Jun 8, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.35Jun 8, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.27May 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$101.49May 30, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$18.13May 30, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$16.11May 30, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.88May 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.33May 30, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.30Apr 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.30Apr 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$13.07Apr 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.07Apr 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$24.34Apr 16, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.