Gregarious-Drag
0xd9514f3301356f8f07f316c3b7d27938ba61f4af
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-112.80
Realised
$-5.51
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$33.67
$32.67
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
30 shares @ 16.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.22
$5.22
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.65
$3.65
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.28
$0.28
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 18?$0.00Mar 18, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C or below on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$1.93Mar 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on March 21?$1.00Mar 17, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$2.00Mar 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$2.00Mar 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.13Mar 17, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Mar 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 19?$1.01Mar 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on March 19?$1.00Mar 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 17, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".