Deficient-Larva
0xd963f16196d6c7021835ac99347cea952b7347a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$230.26
Total PnL
$-257.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.37
$10.37
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
387 shares @ 54.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.61
$-171.39
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
134 shares @ 26.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.39
$-3.61
- YES
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3133 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.33
$8.33
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.39
$2.39
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.62
$-4.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
159 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
75 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$5.00May 23, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$3.00May 23, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$10.37May 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.00May 8, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$10.00May 8, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00May 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00May 7, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$48.81May 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$35.00May 4, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$31.91May 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Apr 8, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.00Apr 8, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$24.59Apr 7, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.00Mar 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$15.00Mar 19, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 19, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 19, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$0.00Mar 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Mar 19, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $22.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.