Bountiful-Afterthought
0xd99ae7abe8967fd6bcb5d81dafe40ee788e5486b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$17.05
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?
2 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 26, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Jan 19, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 4, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$1.00Nov 25, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Nov 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 21?$1.00Oct 21, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Oct 13, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean Smart win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series?$1.30Oct 7, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-23?$1.75Oct 7, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$1.82Oct 7, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $180 on August 18?$1.85Oct 7, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 7, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?$1.00Sep 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$1.00Sep 9, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Sep 2, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.