Cooked-Attraction
0xd9d4e6680928818af34b229e4de67d2e72d2e9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.97
Total PnL
$-43.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$0.42
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.77
$-2.11
- YES
ECB rate cut in 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 9?
773 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$3.57Jul 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$6.82Jul 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$8.93Jul 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.50Jul 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.70Mar 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.00Mar 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 14, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?$2.22Mar 14, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$15.22Mar 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$7.00Mar 2, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$7.14Mar 2, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?$2.00Feb 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$1.22Feb 28, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$2.56Feb 28, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$3.17Feb 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.00Feb 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$5.00Feb 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.00Feb 20, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.