Parallel-Stockings
0xd9fd1e9d5c6a0588bfe47c5ae043773247004f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$17.86
Total PnL
$-70.47
Realised
$-1.73
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.09
$2.09
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 25.6¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$1.13
$0.13
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- B8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 18.6¢·now 16.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.90
$-0.10
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
42 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
37 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
35 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$1.04Aug 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$1.00Aug 17, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$1.04Aug 17, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2.04Aug 1, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.11Jul 14, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$1.00Jul 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$10.30Jul 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 12, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$1.35Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$6.20Jul 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$1.03Jul 12, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner$15.62Jul 11, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner$7.46Jul 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.64Jul 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner$5.10Jul 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner$5.08Jul 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner$5.08Jul 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner$10.26Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner$10.20Jul 11, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$5.16Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $8.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.