Weak-Embellishment
0xda446074d3ff8c1fa87227705468bdb80b122e5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$958.53
Total PnL
$59.94
Realised
$-71.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
455 shares @ 32.7¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$234.18
$85.45
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
224 shares @ 91.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$218.27
$14.00
- NO
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
209 shares @ 26.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.16
$46.28
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$72.13
$0.95
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
106 shares @ 58.7¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.53
$-5.47
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
140 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.09
$-2.79
- NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
41 shares @ 74.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$36.47
$5.78
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
36 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$35.34
$1.58
- YES
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
192 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.76
$9.59
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
97 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.65
$2.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$7.82Jun 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$5.15Jun 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$9.06Jun 13, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$7.11Jun 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$14.22Jun 13, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$2.80Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$8.28Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$0.96Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$3.08Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$5.04Jun 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$24.43Jun 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$5.98Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$9.43Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$8.15Jun 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$9.43Jun 13, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$25.10Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$23.33Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$2.26Jun 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$11.07Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$12.54Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $15.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.