Aged-Pay
0xda468616b4098ebe381ea53d5bef4177a254300e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$-986.99
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$50.00
$12.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
6481 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-850.63
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2841 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-940.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?
364 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-94.67
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
200 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-136.00
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$300.00Apr 22, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$49.15Apr 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?$100.00Apr 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.8KApr 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$700.00Apr 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$269.71Apr 6, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$50.00Apr 6, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$109.16Apr 6, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$110.55Apr 6, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$131.58Apr 6, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$38.00Mar 27, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.32Mar 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$15.53Mar 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$42.00Mar 20, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 20, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$74.00Feb 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$56.70Feb 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$6.30Feb 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$149.24Feb 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$135.62Feb 27, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $139.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.