0xda7d3ee90d15e2c6f0b5b01d1386e19a43e457c5
0xda7d3ee90d15e2c6f0b5b01d1386e19a43e457c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
96
Open notional
$2.25
Total PnL
$-194.02
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$0.15
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
130 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-31.77
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
37 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- KRÜ BLAZE
Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
36 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
31 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
27 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- SENTINELS
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
24 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$5.00Jun 8, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$7.00Jun 8, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.00Jun 8, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$8.00Jun 4, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$7.00Jun 4, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$2.58Jun 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.05Jun 2, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$3.08Jun 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$1.57May 31, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$1.45May 31, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?$3.16May 31, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2$2.71May 31, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.16May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.38May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.24May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.02May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.24May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$13.43May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16.25May 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$3.70May 30, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.