Unfit-Signet
0xdac2f9195914cf85e1b357190e696bc058677f5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$17.39
Total PnL
$-220.05
Realised
$14.89
Win rate
4%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
178 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.53
$-8.44
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
137 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$-5.14
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
330 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
268 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
173 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
171 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$21.89Jul 20, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$111.11Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.