Accurate-Decoder
0xdacf9f8d0341fa3770fae5c7ccd9dcfed23e3c74
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$12.4K
Win rate
98%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
2644 shares @ 89.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.6K
$216.72
- NO
Will the Kansas City Royals win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
2373 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$2.4K
$1.19
- NO
Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
1282 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$1.3K
$-0.03
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?
16867 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
9184 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.18
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?
6314 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-631.37
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
5729 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-767.33
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
4692 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-570.39
- YES
Will Bill Belichick be the next Giants Head Coach?
3755 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-101.38
- YES
Will Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?
3755 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-101.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E10?$0.03Jul 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E10?$0.01Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.60Jul 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.05Jul 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.05Jul 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.05Jul 28, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.10Jul 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.01Jul 28, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.10Jul 28, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.03Jul 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.00Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.01Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?$384.77Jul 28, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?$150.00Jul 28, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?$517.23Jul 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?$47.50Jul 28, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$277.42Jul 28, 00:24 UTC
- REWARD$4.32Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$496.43Jul 27, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?$515.80Jul 27, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 3, 06:10 UTC → Jun 3, 06:05 UTC
- BUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.5K@88¢Jun 3, 06:05 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
67/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
61 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$7.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $358.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.