Circular-Tone-Photo
0xdb0a9b02c15fabc84ea96484929544a3d499fea3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.07
Total PnL
$-0.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.71
$-0.29
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.87
$0.87
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 25.2¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1.03Jun 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.04Jun 5, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.02Jun 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$1.03Jun 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$3.07Jun 5, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.00Jun 5, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.00Jun 5, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03Jun 5, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.01Jun 5, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.38Jun 5, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$18.23Apr 28, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Apr 24, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$18.00Apr 22, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 23:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".