Fresh-Slaw
0xdb33ebe69584b473e780605624f3fd6d64327ba7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$99.80
Total PnL
$-6.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$51.02
$1.02
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$21.98
$1.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?
14 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$13.79
$1.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
13 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$12.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
13 shares @ 85.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$12.05Jun 4, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-4.5)$20.05Jun 4, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$25.03May 21, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$25.03May 21, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 21?$12.11May 21, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$27.66May 21, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?$29.71May 21, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?$29.05May 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$26.11May 12, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$14.29May 12, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$15.46May 12, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?$15.63May 12, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 5?$30.02May 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 5?$29.07May 5, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$13.08Apr 29, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$11.06Apr 29, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$22.05Apr 29, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$46.18Apr 29, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$10.00Apr 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$10.00Apr 25, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $19.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 02:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.