Frugal-Forelimb
0xdb860dac2f7d64b98b1ad344c291d31ff18e5ccd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$23.68
Total PnL
$-62.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.44
$0.03
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
7 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.52
$0.38
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 68.5¢·now 56.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.80
$0.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on October 31?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$4.80Jun 4, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7.42Jun 4, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$6.17Jun 4, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$6.44Jun 4, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.29Jun 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.87May 28, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$6.08May 21, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$6.26May 13, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$8.54May 13, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$10.21May 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$1.04May 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$1.14May 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$3.60May 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$10.00Apr 29, 14:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.96Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.27Apr 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$5.60Apr 21, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$0.70Apr 21, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$1.97Apr 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$1.94Apr 21, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".