Calculating-Ingredient
0xdc2fae1ff76344c6899b29258b6b15ee43a0d432
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$36.52
Total PnL
$-54.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
68 shares @ 14.7¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.76
$-0.24
- MICHAEL CHANDLER
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?
805 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.13Jun 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$5.08Jun 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.12Jun 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.38Jun 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.34Jun 10, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$16.13Jun 5, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.24Jun 5, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.13Jun 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.22Jun 3, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.14Jun 3, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.42Jun 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.31Jun 3, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00May 29, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00May 29, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$14.18May 29, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.23May 29, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.