Defenseless-Information
0xdc498668686d7ae36a266b8efd4fd71f47028a5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$52.74
Total PnL
$-33.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
5 shares @ 18.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.37
$4.37
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.28
$1.28
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
4 shares @ 25.1¢·now 37.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 27?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.38
$0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-26?$1.08Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026?$1.82Jun 26, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $108 Week of June 22 2026?$4.35Jun 26, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.08Jun 25, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$1.11Jun 25, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios$2.78Jun 25, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner$2.94Jun 25, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A$1.18Jun 25, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Michael Zheng$1.28Jun 25, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Martin Krumich$1.79Jun 25, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Tyra Caterina Grant$1.67Jun 25, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?$1.05Jun 25, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?$1.04Jun 25, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?$1.06Jun 25, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?$1.00Jun 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios$1.02Jun 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A$1.00Jun 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 25, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.