Acceptable-Reminder
0xdc673f0c681991dbc80e50e8f27b55768f038f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$-310.64
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12304 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10947 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
1818 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
1288 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-682.90
- YES
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.79Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.57Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.1KJul 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.1KJul 15, 21:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$24.66Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.85Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.77Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.06Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.20Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.2KJul 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$768.73Jul 7, 17:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $818.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.