Aged-Drum
0xdc700b60c6ed2f9eb28a216314a167777ee3cc56
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$886.46
Realised
$737.26
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
707 shares @ 62.3¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$452.44
$11.89
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
383 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$370.00
$11.88
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
422 shares @ 74.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$314.09
$0.44
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
422 shares @ 75.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$301.73
$-17.34
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
308 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.06
$2.20
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
305 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.92
$-5.87
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
269 shares @ 74.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$259.33
$58.93
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
195 shares @ 79.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$193.73
$38.89
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
199 shares @ 84.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$170.50
$2.14
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
251 shares @ 69.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.12
$-7.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$185.703h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$16.385h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$7.135h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.586h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$20.476h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.966h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$61.186h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$35.887h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$22.897h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$45.538h ago
- YIELD$0.0223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$21.461d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$52.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$26.221d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$55.291d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.791d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$14.071d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$5.521d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$21.461d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$11.591d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $36.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.