Aged-Drum
0xdc700b60c6ed2f9eb28a216314a167777ee3cc56
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$14.6K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$471.12
Win rate
42%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
3686 shares @ 65.4¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-142.48
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
2156 shares @ 71.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$2.22
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
2275 shares @ 70.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$-87.29
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
980 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$960.90
$18.25
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
817 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$804.68
$10.38
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
988 shares @ 81.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$795.23
$-9.78
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
689 shares @ 85.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$595.72
$9.74
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
565 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$549.03
$10.41
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
782 shares @ 69.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.50
$-1.34
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
609 shares @ 71.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$514.93
$81.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$7.19Jun 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$41.23Jun 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.57Jun 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$166.54Jun 14, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$41.45Jun 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$8.50Jun 14, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.03Jun 14, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$20.93Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$15.29Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.12Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$16.53Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$7.02Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.98Jun 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.92Jun 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.54Jun 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$44.11Jun 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.02Jun 14, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$31.02Jun 14, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$16.81Jun 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$131.48Jun 14, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $89.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.