Frequent-Produce
0xdc755605e4d4aae0e6c763c84abb916a44a2a292
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-133.01
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1295 shares @ 43.8¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$880.68
$313.68
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5099 shares @ 9.5¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$351.85
$-131.57
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$319.94
$39.99
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
473 shares @ 63.4¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$269.53
$-30.47
- NO
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
264 shares @ 75.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$260.78
$60.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
688 shares @ 43.6¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$254.66
$-45.34
- NO
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?
120 shares @ 80.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$106.20
$9.60
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 46.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$105.77
$55.77
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
117 shares @ 17.1¢·now 74.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$87.54
$67.54
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
569 shares @ 35.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.22
$-148.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$31.73Jul 19, 19:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.45Jul 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$26.21Jul 16, 06:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$206.19Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.57Jul 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$93.06Jul 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.30Jul 15, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $111.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.