Sick-Motive
0xdc8285dd35dcee216d2249eb22dc15484e87033a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$79.86
Total PnL
$-3.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
781 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.66
$2.66
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
2153 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.45
$-3.55
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
212 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
583 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.71
$-0.29
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
184 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.93
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$5.17May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$5.17May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$7.00May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$5.00May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5.24May 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.35May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$25.97May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$24.95May 18, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $10.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".