Ornery-Citizen
0xdcb4fa0c35d1e917dc96d25b3bdee7d4056c372a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$81.40
Total PnL
$-2.45
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.5¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.00May 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.00May 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$1.00May 14, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$1.13May 14, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.05May 14, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$6.03May 14, 07:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$1.00May 13, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?$1.35May 12, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?$1.01May 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?$1.01May 11, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?$1.23May 11, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$1.49May 11, 11:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$1.01May 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?$1.01May 10, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$6.00May 10, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.00May 10, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".