Scared-Stealth
0xdd068854d032b8bd7ad0f5bffdb0aca8e381bec5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$228.97
Total PnL
$62.13
Realised
$142.21
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.50
$4.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.25
$6.75
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
50 shares @ 91.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.23
$1.52
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.50
$-2.50
- YES
USD1 depeg by December 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.45
$0.55
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.74
$-0.46
- YES
USDE depeg by December 31?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.50
$-15.50
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$-9.20
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.25Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.28Jul 19, 19:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5)$1.39Jul 18, 23:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$1.01Jul 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.01Jul 17, 10:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$47.74Jul 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$50.75Jul 16, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.