0xdd37d1f403d1900a0ca0a87aa375cdd703c447e4
0xdd37d1f403d1900a0ca0a87aa375cdd703c447e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$115.18
Total PnL
$-10.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.50
$0.46
- NO
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of July 13 2026?
12 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$7.15
$0.31
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.09
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.86
$0.40
- NO
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$6.71
$1.67
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
32 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.19
$0.34
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.73
$0.73
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.34
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of July 13 2026?$6.96Jul 14, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 13 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?$6.81Jul 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 13 2026?$4.43Jul 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$2.94Jul 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$1.94Jul 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.75Jul 12, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$4.86Jul 11, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$7.27Jul 11, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$7.11Jul 10, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?$5.11Jul 10, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jul 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?$5.10Jul 10, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?$1.74Jul 9, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$7.15Jul 9, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$0.00Jul 8, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$4.77Jul 8, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.