0xdd37d1f403d1900a0ca0a87aa375cdd703c447e4
0xdd37d1f403d1900a0ca0a87aa375cdd703c447e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$135.06
Total PnL
$-29.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$0.34
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.68
$1.68
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
11 shares @ 37.9¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.72
$2.51
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.65
$3.35
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.54
$3.29
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.45
$-0.59
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.04
$-0.96
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.93
$1.52
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.91
$0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$5.90May 14, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 14?$4.69May 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.27May 13, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$9.00May 13, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$6.49May 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.70May 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?$4.30May 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1.81May 12, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$11.07May 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?$3.39May 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $300 Week of May 11 2026?$6.19May 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$7.04May 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 11 2026?$6.61May 11, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$6.95May 11, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$6.61May 11, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$9.43May 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.30May 10, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$4.52May 10, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.00May 2, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.00May 2, 00:15 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".