Shiny-Research
0xdd4f3939011414edd0ba8881858774dc2b9e5aa2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$413.16
Total PnL
$-253.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?
209 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$208.83
$5.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
67 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$61.04
$-1.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
54 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$52.45
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?
47 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$46.20
$-0.16
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$18.50
$-39.50
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$18.50
$-39.50
- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.65
$-0.75
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
97 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Knicks
50 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?$51.96May 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$62.90May 14, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$46.38May 14, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$88.51May 14, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$98.00May 14, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$50.00May 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$48.98May 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$8.67May 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$195.05May 13, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?$102.00May 13, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$20.90May 13, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$200.00May 13, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$361.27May 13, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$477.80May 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$192.23May 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$352.85May 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$292.02May 13, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$176.51May 13, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$3.60May 13, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$88.64May 12, 13:44 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $112.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".