Intent-Extent
0xdd572169e741c72227589c5cb56b9ddd638d694d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$561.89
Total PnL
$356.2K
Realised
$356.3K
Win rate
98%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$146.96
$35.19
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.52
$-18.25
- YES
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.52
$-18.25
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$80.16
$-31.61
- YES
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.80
$-44.97
- YES
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.80
$-44.97
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.6¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.89
$2.78
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.6¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.87
$2.76
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.41
$1.29
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.03
$0.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Tootla be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?$0.01Jul 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 3 - 3 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 2 - 3 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 2 - 2 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 3 - 0 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 0 - 3 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 0 - 2 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 0 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 0 - 0 Bamin Real Potosí?$0.01Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?$0.01Jul 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$0.00Jul 21, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?$0.01Jul 21, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Club ABB (-1.5)$0.01Jul 21, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Club ABB end in a draw?$0.01Jul 21, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
41 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.