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OtherExpires Apr 20, 2026

Will Justin Tootla be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?

Probability

55¢

1h

-3.9pp

24h

-27.9pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$5.48

Probability (last 7 days)

+4.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 28pp over 24h

    Now 55¢; -3.9pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 90.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:25Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 5.3pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 8.1pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.1pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.8pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 3.1pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 25.1pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.6pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.8pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.9pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.6pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.2pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 37.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 37.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed contestant is eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 during the episode scheduled to release April 20, 2026 9:30PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" If the relevant episode of Top Chef is not aired by the date of this show's next scheduled release, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Evacuations, medical disqualifications, or voluntary or involuntary forfeitures not as a result of formal elimination will not qualify towards the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the relevant episode of Top Chef.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (90.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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