Ultimate-Framework
0xddf7e5468c5a287c3dc67373280bed5efca75122
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$106.32
Realised
$4.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$647.50
$38.50
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
919 shares @ 30.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$222.86
$-52.84
- AFGHANISTAN
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
310 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$158.10
$93.00
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
76 shares @ 60.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$69.16
$23.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMSentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers$0.00Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$491.62Apr 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$88.88Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$221.76Apr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$50.16Apr 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$965.70Apr 7, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$73.22Apr 7, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $233.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.