Secondary-Commodity
0xde16a6159f723d8afb1ef360cd62e7b650f6c8e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$33.01
Total PnL
$-237.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$5.06
- ANDREY RUBLEV
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$8.66
$3.72
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$1.29
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.85
$-6.15
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 22.4¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-4.88
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- FLAVIO COBOLLI
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$20.44Jun 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.10Jun 4, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBarcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Arthur Fils$4.83Apr 13, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$8.08Apr 13, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$15.05Apr 13, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$18.60Apr 13, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$20.41Apr 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka$2.00Apr 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev$5.00Apr 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Arthur Fils$5.00Apr 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$10.00Apr 12, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$8.47Mar 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$5.00Mar 28, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$3.70Mar 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$3.00Mar 14, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$5.00Mar 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Mar 14, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev$8.21Mar 13, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev$5.00Mar 12, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.