Aromatic-Carter
0xde289ba666e7bb7c74c65ae0a03c9f78d91c2115
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$73.20
Realised
$26.97
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
600 shares @ 75.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$504.00
$50.05
- NO
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
409 shares @ 72.8¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$351.74
$53.88
- NO
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
340 shares @ 59.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$289.00
$88.04
- YES
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
715 shares @ 33.4¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$257.40
$18.72
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
253 shares @ 67.8¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.98
$-4.44
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
379 shares @ 36.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$159.04
$22.64
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
310 shares @ 51.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.55
$-1.85
- NO
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
172 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$147.66
$9.96
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
129 shares @ 75.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.52
$16.01
- YES
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
795 shares @ 20.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.40
$-69.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$8.80Jul 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$191.07Jul 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$137.65Jul 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$62.78Jul 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$14.79Jul 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$36.10Jul 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$61.05Jul 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$47.83Jul 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$82.08Jul 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$23.16Jul 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$151.03Jul 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$20.06Jul 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$78.36Jul 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.30Jul 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$15.98Jul 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$18.83Jul 10, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$57.97Jul 9, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$37.80Jul 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$162.09Jul 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$154.21Jul 8, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $35.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.