Plastic-Mask
0xde62a0d384ad46e736afdee9cecb595a94591945
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$46.80
Total PnL
$-164.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
44 shares @ 22.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$44.38
$34.38
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.42
$-7.58
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$3.32May 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.54May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.07May 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$1.07May 17, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$15.97May 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$6.01May 17, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00May 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$9.28May 17, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$14.29May 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.21May 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$3.29May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$7.15May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.53May 16, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$7.14May 16, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$3.70May 16, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00May 10, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$4.22May 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.30May 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.67May 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.67May 10, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $30.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.