Mysterious-Plate
0xde9ba33e62114020c2e80a216d2fde92b1c38822
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$31.91
Total PnL
$-84.08
Realised
$-21.86
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
86 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.06
$-4.74
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 59.1¢·now 69.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.70
$0.05
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
17 shares @ 55.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.45
$-6.05
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
26 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.20
$0.64
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-3.35
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$-1.22
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.28
$-0.15
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.51
$-0.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.52May 27, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.14Mar 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$5.14Mar 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.43Mar 16, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.39Mar 16, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?$5.00Mar 9, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?$5.00Mar 9, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dictator" or "Maduro" during Miami address?$5.00Mar 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$5.00Mar 9, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$25.04Mar 9, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.56Mar 1, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$2.56Mar 1, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.83Feb 28, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$2.83Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$1.16Feb 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.16Feb 20, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Feb 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?$3.27Feb 9, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".