Mediocre-Peripheral
0xdebdff6613619eaf2317945b4a65351f03cf49f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$520.94
Total PnL
$-23.57
Realised
$3.42
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- NO
APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 73.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$29.20
$-0.15
- NO
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
52 shares @ 64.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.07
$-7.23
- NO
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $135B by August 31?
39 shares @ 69.6¢·now 66.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$26.01
$-1.14
- NO
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?
30 shares @ 60.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.70
$5.70
- NO
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by August 31?
45 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$23.58
$-3.42
- YES
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?
45 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$16.88
$3.38
- NO
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?
20 shares @ 35.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.90
$6.80
- NO
Will USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?
30 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.80
$-3.30
- YES
APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
41 shares @ 16.1¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.53
$6.91
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
20 shares @ 39.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$12.50
$4.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?$3.33Aug 6, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31?$0.88Aug 6, 06:06 UTC
- MERGEWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by August 31?$5.00Aug 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 250?$2.00Aug 6, 05:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Aug 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?$2.75Aug 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?$1.54Aug 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?$1.42Aug 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?$3.05Aug 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by August 31?$3.00Aug 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.78Aug 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31?$0.83Aug 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?$1.54Aug 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by August 31?$3.00Aug 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $135B by August 31?$3.25Aug 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?$3.25Aug 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?$2.80Aug 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYQFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.65Aug 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by August 31?$1.13Aug 5, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?$3.40Aug 5, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.